Sındırgı Depremleri: Birikimli Hasarın Ardındaki Bilimsel Gerçekler | Prof. Dr. Ali Osman Öncel

Sındırgı Depremleri: Birikimli Hasarın Ardındaki Bilimsel Gerçekler

Akademik Kaynaklar, Raporlar ve Videolar

2025 verileriyle güçlendirilmiş öneriler – Prof. Dr. Ali Osman Öncel

Sındırgı Earthquakes: The Scientific Realities Behind Cumulative Damage

Academic Sources, Reports and Videos

Recommendations enhanced with 2025 data – Prof. Dr. Ali Osman Öncel

Şekil 1: Sındırgı depremleri – Canva tasarımı.
Figure 1: Sındırgı earthquakes – Canva design.
Özet
Abstract

Özet – Bu Yapay Zeka Araştırma Asistanı, Sındırgı 2025 depremleri makalesini analiz ederek, her bölüme uygun Q1-Q2 akademik yayınlar, resmi raporlar ve doğrulanmış YouTube videoları önermektedir. Kaynaklar APA 7 formatında listelenmiş olup, jeodezik analizden afet yönetimine kadar geniş bir yelpazeyi kapsar.

Abstract – This AI Research Assistant analyzes the Sındırgı 2025 earthquakes article, recommending Q1-Q2 academic publications, official reports, and verified YouTube videos for each section. Sources are listed in APA 7 format, covering geodetic analysis to disaster management.

In 2025, two significant earthquakes occurred in Western Anatolia, Turkey, affecting the Sındırgı district disproportionately despite not being the direct epicenter. The first earthquake struck on August 10, centered near Soma, with a magnitude of 6.1 Mw. The second followed on October 27, centered near Aktaş–Dursunbey, also with a magnitude of 6.0–6.1 Mw. Although Sındırgı was not the epicenter of either event, its proximity—approximately 45 km from Soma and 20 km from Dursunbey—resulted in cumulative structural damage and social disruption. This study evaluates the spatial relationship between these seismic events and the rationale behind declaring Sındırgı a disaster zone.

In 2025, two significant earthquakes occurred in Western Anatolia, Turkey, affecting the Sındırgı district disproportionately despite not being the direct epicenter. The first earthquake struck on August 10, centered near Soma, with a magnitude of 6.1 Mw. The second followed on October 27, centered near Aktaş–Dursunbey, also with a magnitude of 6.0–6.1 Mw. Although Sındırgı was not the epicenter of either event, its proximity—approximately 45 km from Soma and 20 km from Dursunbey—resulted in cumulative structural damage and social disruption. This study evaluates the spatial relationship between these seismic events and the rationale behind declaring Sındırgı a disaster zone.

GİRİŞ INTRODUCTION Resmi Rapor: Kandilli Rasathanesi. (2025). 10 Ağustos 2025 Alakır-Sındırgı (Balıkesir) M6.1 Depremi Ön Değerlendirme Raporu. Boğaziçi Üniversitesi. Link
GİRİŞ INTRODUCTION Akademik: Doğan, A., & Emre, Ö. (2006). Ege graben sisteminin kuzey sınırı: Sındırgı-Sincanlı Fay Zonu. Türkiye Jeoloji Kurultayı Bildiriler Kitabı, 83–84.
IRIS Earthquake Science: Deprem Nasıl Oluşur? (Genel sismoloji)
IRIS Earthquake Science: How Does an Earthquake Occur? (General seismology)
Elastik Geri Sekme Teorisi – Deprem Mekaniği
Elastic Rebound Theory – Earthquake Mechanics

Epicenter distances were calculated using geodesic methods based on AFAD-reported coordinates. Damage assessments were compiled from official AFAD and municipal reports. Field observations, media coverage, and community feedback were analyzed to understand the social impact and administrative response. The study focuses on the timeline between the two earthquakes and the cumulative effects leading to the disaster zone declaration on November 5, 2025.

Epicenter distances were calculated using geodesic methods based on AFAD-reported coordinates. Damage assessments were compiled from official AFAD and municipal reports. Field observations, media coverage, and community feedback were analyzed to understand the social impact and administrative response. The study focuses on the timeline between the two earthquakes and the cumulative effects leading to the disaster zone declaration on November 5, 2025.

YÖNTEM METHOD Klasik: Sinnott, R. W. (1984). Virtues of the Haversine. Sky and Telescope, 68(2), 159–162.
YÖNTEM METHOD Resmi: AFAD. (2025). Deprem Ön Değerlendirme Raporu (M6.1). PDF

Epicenter Distances:
• August 10 (Soma): ~45 km from Sındırgı
• October 27 (Aktaş–Dursunbey): ~20 km from Sındırgı

Damage Assessment:
• 22,616 buildings inspected
• 560 buildings and 898 units identified for reinforcement or reconstruction
• 109 containers installed for temporary shelter
• 100 families relocated to TOKİ housing
• Prefabricated workplaces, social spaces, and livestock shelters established
• Financial aid and household support distributed

Administrative Action:
• Sındırgı declared a “General Life-Affecting Disaster Zone” on November 5, 2025

Epicenter Distances:
• August 10 (Soma): ~45 km from Sındırgı
• October 27 (Aktaş–Dursunbey): ~20 km from Sındırgı

Damage Assessment:
• 22,616 buildings inspected
• 560 buildings and 898 units identified for reinforcement or reconstruction
• 109 containers installed for temporary shelter
• 1003 families relocated to TOKİ housing
• Prefabricated workplaces, social spaces, and livestock shelters established
• Financial aid and household support distributed

Administrative Action:
• Sındırgı declared a “General Life-Affecting Disaster Zone” on November 5, 2025

BULGULAR RESULTS Resmi: AFAD. (2025). Balıkesir Sındırgı Hasar Tespit Raporu. Ankara: Afet ve Acil Durum Yönetimi Başkanlığı.
BULGULAR RESULTS Rapor: DEUNET Jeofizik. (2025). MW 6.1 Sındırgı-Balıkesir depremi artçı şok dağılımı. PDF
Balıkesir Sındırgı 6.1 Depremi ve Bölgede Deprem Riski
Prof. Dr. Ali Osman Öncel: Balıkesir Depremi, Artçılar ve Etkileri
Depremin Şiddeti, Derinliği ve Zemin Etkisi | Prof. Dr. Ali Osman Öncel

The Sındırgı case illustrates how spatial proximity to multiple seismic events can amplify regional vulnerability, even when the district is not the direct epicenter. The short interval between the two earthquakes and their shallow focal depths contributed to cumulative damage. The disaster zone declaration provided psychological reassurance and logistical support to affected residents. However, long-term recovery depends on sustained aid, resilient infrastructure, and community engagement. This case underscores the importance of preparedness and scientific communication in disaster-prone regions.

The Sındırgı case illustrates how spatial proximity to multiple seismic events can amplify regional vulnerability, even when the district is not the direct epicenter. The short interval between the two earthquakes and their shallow focal depths contributed to cumulative damage. The disaster zone declaration provided psychological reassurance and logistical support to affected residents. However, long-term recovery depends on sustained aid, resilient infrastructure, and community engagement. This case underscores the importance of preparedness and scientific communication in disaster-prone regions.

“Earthquakes don’t kill, unpreparedness does. What Sındırgı experienced is a warning to us all: Empower yourself with science, live in solidarity.”
“Earthquakes don’t kill, unpreparedness does. What Sındırgı experienced is a warning to us all: Empower yourself with science, live in solidarity.”
TARTIŞMA DISCUSSION Resmi: Türkiye Cumhuriyeti Resmi Gazete. (2025). Afet Bölgesi Kararı, Sayı: 32360. Link
TARTIŞMA DISCUSSION Haber: BBC Türkçe. (2025). Sındırgı'da deprem: 'İkiz deprem' örneği. Link
Neden Bazıları Yıkılırken Diğerleri Yıkılmaz? – IRIS
Düşün Alanı: Think Zone:
Birikimli hasar, afet yönetiminde bilimsel veriyi nasıl entegre eder? Aristoteles: “Hazırlıksızlık, erdemin yokluğu mudur?”
How does cumulative damage integrate scientific data in disaster management? To Aristotle: “Is unpreparedness the absence of virtue?”
Bilim, erdemle birleşince direnç doğar. Sındırgı, hazırlığın gücünü gösterdi.

This study highlights the need for proactive seismic risk assessment in regions adjacent to active fault lines. The Sındırgı experience demonstrates that cumulative effects from sequential earthquakes can warrant disaster zone status even without direct epicentral impact. Future policy should integrate geodetic monitoring, community education, and rapid response mechanisms to mitigate similar outcomes.

This study highlights the need for proactive seismic risk assessment in regions adjacent to active fault lines. The Sındırgı experience demonstrates that cumulative effects from sequential earthquakes can warrant disaster zone status even without direct epicentral impact. Future policy should integrate geodetic monitoring, community education, and rapid response mechanisms to mitigate similar outcomes.

SONUÇ CONCLUSION Uyarı: Prof. Dr. Hasan Sözbilir. (2025). Sındırgı'da korkutan deprem sonrası kritik uyarı: Ölü faylar uyandı. DAUM DEU. Link
SONUÇ CONCLUSION Haber: Herkese Bilim Teknoloji. (2025). İkiz depremlere bir örnek: Sındırgı-Balıkesir deprem etkinliği. Link

Vs30 Zemin Analizi: Sındırgı merkezinde zemin sınıfı genellikle orta sertlikte (Vs30 > 360 m/s) iken, Karagürler gibi kuzeybatı kırsal alanlarda Vs30 değerleri daha düşüktür. Bu durum, deprem dalgalarının büyümesine ve hasarın artmasına neden olabilir.

Vs30 Soil Analysis: While central Sındırgı generally has medium-stiff soil (Vs30 > 360 m/s), northwestern rural areas like Karagürler show lower Vs30 values, increasing seismic wave amplification and damage potential.

ZEMİN SOIL USGS Interaktif Harita: Vs30 Zemin Sınıflandırması (Shear-Wave Velocity)
Sındırgı ve çevresindeki zemin türlerini incelemek için interaktif haritayı kullanabilirsiniz. Karagürler gibi bölgelerde düşük Vs30 değerleri dikkat çekmektedir.

Haritayı Aç
USGS Vs30 Haritası
Şekil: USGS Vs30 Zemin Haritası – Sındırgı ve çevresi
Figure: USGS Vs30 Soil Map – Sındırgı and surroundings
“Zemin, sessiz bir büyüteçtir. Karagürler’deki yumuşak tabaka, sarsıntıyı büyütür; hazırlık, bu sessizliği duymaktır.”
“Soil is a silent amplifier. The soft layer in Karagürler magnifies shaking; preparedness is hearing this silence.”

Tüm Bölümler İçin APA 7 Formatında Kaynak Listesi

APA 7 Reference List for All Sections

  • Afet ve Acil Durum Yönetimi Başkanlığı (AFAD). (2025). Balıkesir Sındırgı Hasar Tespit Raporu. Ankara: Afet ve Acil Durum Yönetimi Başkanlığı.
  • Afet ve Acil Durum Yönetimi Başkanlığı (AFAD). (2025). Deprem Ön Değerlendirme Raporu (M6.1). https://deprem.afad.gov.tr/noise-analysis/reports/DepremOnDegerlendirmeRaporu(6.1).pdf
  • Boğaziçi Üniversitesi Kandilli Rasathanesi. (2025). 10 Ağustos 2025 Alakır-Sındırgı (Balıkesir) M6.1 Depremi Ön Değerlendirme Raporu. http://www.koeri.boun.edu.tr/sismo/2/10-agustos-2025-alakir-sindirgi-balikesir-m6-1-depremi-on-degerlendirme-raporu/
  • DEUNET Jeofizik. (2025). MW 6.1 Sındırgı-Balıkesir depremi artçı şok dağılımı. https://jeofizik.deu.edu.tr/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/M6-1_Sindirgi_ve_M5-3_Simav_depremle-ri_raporu.pdf
  • Doğan, A., & Emre, Ö. (2006). Ege graben sisteminin kuzey sınırı: Sındırgı-Sincanlı Fay Zonu. Türkiye Jeoloji Kurultayı Bildiriler Kitabı, 83–84.
  • Sinnott, R. W. (1984). Virtues of the Haversine. Sky and Telescope, 68(2), 159–162.
  • Türkiye Cumhuriyeti Resmi Gazete. (2025). Afet Bölgesi Kararı, Sayı: 32360. https://www.resmigazete.gov.tr/
  • U.S. Geological Survey. (n.d.). Global Vs30 Map Server – A Global Grid of Vs30 Values. https://usgs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=8ac19bc334f747e486550f32837578e1

Doğrulanmış YouTube Videoları

Verified YouTube Videos

  • Giriş: IRIS. How Does an Earthquake Occur? [Video]. YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hdg7jxExAM8
  • Giriş: IRIS. Elastic Rebound of the ground during an earthquake [Video]. YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HQFTDAzhbZM
  • Bulgular: Prof. Dr. Ali Osman Öncel. Balıkesir Sındırgı 6.1 Depremi ve Bölgede Deprem Riski [Video]. YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7yiE9CEziZ0
  • Bulgular: Prof. Dr. Ali Osman Öncel. Balıkesir Depremi, Artçılar ve Etkileri [Video]. YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6_GiJ45z1UE
  • Bulgular: Prof. Dr. Ali Osman Öncel. Depremin Şiddeti, Derinliği ve Zemin Etkisi [Video]. YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nh1zySkpEcU
  • Tartışma: IRIS. Neden Bazıları Yıkılırken Diğerleri Yıkılmaz? [Video]. YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HzIu46aigTY

Prof. Dr. Ali Osman Öncel | Yapay Zeka Destekli Araştırma Asistanı (2025)

© 2025 Prof. Dr. Ali Osman Öncel

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